Tex-graph: Coupled tensor-matrix knowledge-graph embedding for COVID-19 drug repurposing

Knowledge graphs (KGs) are powerful tools that codify relational behaviour between entities in knowledge bases. KGs can simultaneously model many different types of subject-predicate-object and higher-order relations. As such, they offer a flexible modeling framework that has been applied to many areas, including biology and pharmacology – most recently, in the fight against COVID-19. The flexibility of KG modeling is both a blessing and a challenge from the learning point of view. In this paper we propose a novel coupled tensor-matrix framework for KG embedding. We leverage tensor factorization tools to learn concise representations of entities and relations in knowledge bases and employ these representations to perform drug repurposing for COVID-19. Our proposed framework is principled, elegant, and achieves 100% improvement over the best baseline in the COVID-19 drug repurposing task using a recently developed biological KG. © 2021 by SIAM.

STELAR: Spatio-temporal Tensor Factorization with Latent Epidemiological Regularization

Accurate prediction of the transmission of epidemic diseases such as COVID-19 is crucial for implementing effective mitigation measures. In this work, we develop a tensor method to predict the evolution of epidemic trends for many regions simultaneously. We construct a 3-way spatio-temporal tensor (location, attribute, time) of case counts and propose a nonnegative tensor factorization with latent epidemiological model regularization named STELAR. Unlike standard tensor factorization methods which cannot predict slabs ahead, STELAR enables long-term prediction by incorporating latent temporal regularization through a system of discrete-time difference equations of a widely adopted epidemiological model. We use latent instead of location/attribute-level epidemiological dynamics to capture common epidemic profile sub-types and improve collaborative learning and prediction. We conduct experiments using both county- and state-level COVID-19 data and show that our model can identify interesting latent patterns of the epidemic. Finally, we evaluate the predictive ability of our method and show superior performance compared to the baselines, achieving up to 21% lower root mean square error and 25% lower mean absolute error for county-level prediction.